Antony Green’s Election Calculator

This is Antony Green’s projected outcome based on a swing of 10.6 %.

We should know tonight how close this projection is. A larger swing may take place.

Antony Green’s Election Calculator

div#election-calculator { overflow: hidden; margin: 2em 0pt; font-family: Verdana,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 8pt; line-height: 1.15; color: rgb(20, 47, 87); background: url(“http://www.abc.net.au/elections/qld/2012/calculator/img/bg.png”) repeat-x scroll 0pt 0pt rgb(229, 236, 246); }div#election-calculator h2 { margin: 0pt -10px 1em ! important; background-color: rgb(208, 222, 238) ! important; padding: 0.3em 5px ! important; text-align: center ! important; font-size: 12pt; font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator input { vertical-align: text-bottom; }div#election-calculator select { vertical-align: baseline; }div#election-calculator-columns { overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 10px; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat { overflow: hidden; background: none repeat scroll 0% 0% rgb(229, 236, 246); }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat .electorates { overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 1.5em; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat .electorates p { text-align: center; }div#election-calculator-column1 { width: 340px; float: left; }div#election-calculator-column2 { width: 340px; float: right; }div#election-calculator-swing, div#election-calculator-outcome, div#election-calculator-seatbyseat { padding: 0pt 10px; clear: both; }select#election-calculator-preset { width: 200px; position: absolute; z-index: 2; }div#election-calculator-swing div.heading { position: relative; padding: 2px; height: 2em; z-index: 1; }div#election-calculator-swing div.setting { position: relative; border: 2px solid rgb(174, 189, 210); height: 60px; margin: 1em 0pt; overflow: hidden; background: url(“http://www.abc.net.au/elections/qld/2012/calculator/img/slider-alp-lnp.png”) no-repeat scroll 10px 30px transparent; }div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.name { position: absolute; left: 10px; top: 10px; font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator-swing div.heading span.swing, div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.swing { position: absolute; width: 40px; left: 220px; text-align: right; font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator-swing div.heading span.tpp, div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.tpp { position: absolute; width: 40px; left: 270px; text-align: right; font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.slider { position: absolute; width: 200px; height: 50px; left: 10px; top: 5px; }div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.swing, div#election-calculator-swing div.setting span.tpp { top: 30px; }div#election-calculator-swing p { margin: 0pt 0pt 0.33em; }div#election-calculator-swing label { font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator-help { margin-top: 1em; }div#election-calculator-individualselection { margin-left: 30px; clear: both; }div#election-calculator-individualselection span { display: inline-block; width: 10em; }div#election-calculator-individualselection label { font-weight: normal; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-status { font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart { background: url(“http://www.abc.net.au/elections/qld/2012/calculator/img/finish-line.png”) repeat-y scroll -1px 0px transparent; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .party { margin: 10px 0pt; position: relative; height: 45px; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .party:hover { cursor: help; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart p { margin: 0pt; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .bar { height: 25px; width: 0px; background-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); font-size: 8pt; -moz-box-shadow: 1px 1px 2px rgb(174, 189, 210); z-index: 100; color: white; position: absolute; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .text { position: absolute; height: 22px; line-height: 22px; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .value { font-weight: bold; font-size: 15px; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-chart .change { color: rgb(100, 118, 145); font-size: 7pt; margin-left: 0.25em; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-alp-bar { background: -moz-linear-gradient(left center , rgb(231, 22, 22) 0%, rgb(173, 16, 16) 100%) repeat scroll 0% 0% transparent; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-lnp-bar { height: 20px; line-height: 20px; background: -moz-linear-gradient(left center , rgb(22, 111, 231) 0%, rgb(17, 86, 180) 100%) repeat scroll 0% 0% transparent; }div#election-calculator-outcome-output-oth-bar { height: 20px; line-height: 20px; background: -moz-linear-gradient(left center , rgb(163, 163, 163) 0%, rgb(114, 114, 114) 100%) repeat scroll 0% 0% transparent; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat { overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 10px; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat h3 { text-align: center; font-size: 10pt; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat .electorate { background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); padding: 5px 140px 5px 10px; margin: 4px 0pt; position: relative; border: 1px solid rgb(174, 189, 210); -moz-box-shadow: 1px 1px 2px rgb(174, 189, 210); }div#election-calculator a { color: rgb(20, 47, 87); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(174, 189, 210); }div#election-calculator a:hover { text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(20, 47, 87); }div#election-calculator .slider a { border-bottom: medium none; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat .electorate .gained { position: absolute; right: 80px; top: 5px; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat .electorate .margin { position: absolute; right: 0pt; top: 0pt; padding: 5px 10px; text-align: right; width: 80px; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat-column1 { width: 330px; float: left; }div#election-calculator-seatbyseat-column2 { width: 330px; float: right; }div#election-calculator .credits { color: rgb(174, 189, 210); text-align: right; margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 1em; }div#election-calculator .ptyred { color: rgb(238, 0, 0); }div#election-calculator .ptyblue { color: rgb(34, 85, 255); }div#election-calculator .ptygreen { color: rgb(0, 153, 102); }div#election-calculator .ptylightgreen { color: rgb(102, 221, 51); }div#election-calculator .ptygold { color: rgb(255, 170, 0); }div#election-calculator .ptybrown { color: rgb(153, 102, 0); }div#election-calculator .ptylightblue { color: rgb(0, 204, 255); }div#election-calculator .ptyblack { color: rgb(0, 0, 0); }.ui-slider { position: relative; text-align: left; }.ui-slider .ui-slider-handle { position: absolute; z-index: 2; width: 1.2em; height: 1.2em; cursor: default; }.ui-slider .ui-slider-range { position: absolute; z-index: 1; font-size: 0.7em; display: block; border: 0pt none; background-position: 0pt 0pt; }.ui-slider-horizontal { height: 0.8em; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-handle { top: -0.3em; margin-left: -0.6em; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-range { top: 0pt; height: 100%; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-range-min { left: 0pt; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-range-max { right: 0pt; }.ui-slider-vertical { width: 0.8em; height: 100px; }.ui-slider-vertical .ui-slider-handle { left: -0.3em; margin-left: 0pt; margin-bottom: -0.6em; }.ui-slider-vertical .ui-slider-range { left: 0pt; width: 100%; }.ui-slider-vertical .ui-slider-range-min { bottom: 0pt; }.ui-slider-vertical .ui-slider-range-max { top: 0pt; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-handle { width: 13px; height: 28px; top: 20px; margin-left: -6px; background: url(“http://www.abc.net.au/elections/qld/2012/calculator/img/slider-handle.png”) repeat scroll 0% 0% transparent; }.ui-slider-horizontal .ui-slider-handle:focus { outline: medium none; }

Adjust swing

%
Swing
%
2PP
Overall swing 10.6 60.0

If you shift the slider in the red direction (to the left), you are building a swing to Labor. If you move the slider in the blue direction (to the right) you are entering a swing to the LNP. Learn more »

Predicted outcome

LNP wins election

Labor seats won

14 (-37)

LNP seats won

68 (+37)

Other seats won

7

Seat-by-seat prediction

Labor Party

Sunnybank ALP 0.2%
Lytton ALP 1.6%
Sandgate ALP 1.8%
Logan ALP 3.3%
Nudgee ALP 3.7%
Waterford ALP 5.9%
Ipswich ALP 6.1%
Mackay ALP 6.1%
Rockhampton ALP 7.3%
Bundamba ALP 10.6%
Inala ALP 10.9%
Woodridge ALP 14.8%

LNP

Capalaba Gained LNP 0.9%
Ipswich West Gained LNP 1.1%
Stretton Gained LNP 1.1%
Algester Gained LNP 1.4%
Morayfield Gained LNP 1.5%
Yeerongpilly Gained LNP 1.9%
Thuringowa Gained LNP 2.1%
Mulgrave Gained LNP 2.5%
Bulimba Gained LNP 2.8%
Keppel Gained LNP 3.0%
Stafford Gained LNP 3.3%
Ashgrove Gained LNP 3.5%
Greenslopes Gained LNP 3.7%
Mundingburra Gained LNP 4.0%
Albert Gained LNP 4.1%
Brisbane Central Gained LNP 4.6%
Redcliffe Gained LNP 5.0%
Murrumba Gained LNP 5.2%
Mount Coot-tha Gained LNP 5.4%
Pumicestone Gained LNP 5.6%
Burleigh Gained LNP 5.7%
Mount Ommaney Gained LNP 5.8%
Kallangur Gained LNP 6.0%
Pine Rivers Gained LNP 6.0%
Ferny Grove Gained LNP 6.1%
Mansfield Gained LNP 6.2%
Cairns Gained LNP 6.4%
Springwood Gained LNP 6.5%
Townsville Gained LNP 6.6%
Southport Gained LNP 7.1%
Whitsunday Gained LNP 7.4%
Toowoomba North Gained LNP 7.4%
Barron River Gained LNP 8.3%
Cook Gained LNP 8.4%
Broadwater Gained LNP 8.6%
Everton Gained LNP 9.2%
Chatsworth Gained LNP 10.5%
Redlands LNP 10.7%
Cleveland LNP 10.9%
Mirani LNP 11.2%
Gaven LNP 11.3%
Coomera LNP 12.5%
Burdekin LNP 13.7%
Mudgeeraba LNP 14.5%
Aspley LNP 15.1%
Glass House LNP 16.4%
Clayfield LNP 16.4%
Indooroopilly LNP 16.5%
Bundaberg LNP 16.6%
Caloundra LNP 16.8%
Hervey Bay LNP 17.1%
Currumbin LNP 17.5%
Kawana LNP 17.5%
Lockyer LNP 18.2%
Toowoomba South LNP 18.8%
Mermaid Beach LNP 21.4%
Moggill LNP 21.9%
Maroochydore LNP 23.4%
Gregory LNP 24.9%
Buderim LNP 24.9%
Hinchinbrook LNP 25.3%
Callide LNP 30.0%
Noosa LNP 30.4%
Condamine LNP 31.1%
Southern Downs LNP 31.7%
Warrego LNP 34.9%
Gympie LNP 37.8%

Katter’s Australia Party

Independent

Burnett IND
Nanango IND
Nicklin IND

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.