The John James Newsletter 104
13 February 2016
You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out
if you’re not at the table, you’re on the menu
If There Is a Recession in 2016, This Is How It Will Happen
What we’re dealing with isn’t just a run-of-the-mill economic slowdown in emerging markets, but the reversal of a 15-year cycle in which capital has flowed into emerging markets while debt grew. Now that’s reversing.
The Scariest Trade Deal Nobody’s Talking About
TiSA would restrict how governments can manage their public laws through an effective regulatory cap. It could also dismantle and privatize state-owned enterprises, and turn those services over to the private sector.
The IMF Changes its Rules to Isolate China and Russia
Russia and China are simply doing what the US has long done: using trade and credit linkages to cement their diplomacy. This tectonic geopolitical shift is a Copernican threat to New Cold War ideology:the main motive for changing the rules was the threat that China would provide an alternative to IMF lending and its demands for crushing austerity.
Synthetic Forests of GE Trees
184 million acres of native forests around the world will be bulldozed and replaced with plantations of genetically engineered trees.
Iraq Was Invaded to Secure Israel
“Let’s realize we are in real trouble. Saudi Arabia is in trouble. Israel is in trouble. The United States is in trouble. I am going to state what I believe to be the fact. Nobody is willing to stand up and say what is going on.”
Russia Warns Gulf Intervention in Syria Risks World War
Moscow warned that any move by Gulf nations to send in troops to support the rebels in Syria would risk a “new world war.” The goal is to totally liberate Aleppo and then to seal the northern border with Turkey, to stop the offensive would be tantamount to defeat.
Are We on the Eve of War?
The reaction of Saudi Arabia to the Russian intervention in Syria has always been the wild card. Turkey and Israel, along with Saudi Arabia have the most to lose from the strong alliance between Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia.
Saudi Arabia Makes “Final” Decision To Send Troops To Syria
Direct interventions are tricky. Russia has never denied it intends to bolster Syrian government forces against the rebels, all of whom Moscow deems “terrorists.”
“What Do You Want Me To Do, Go To War With The Russians?!”
The US has completely abandoned the idea that Assad should step down.
Risking World War III in Syria
After the Syrian army cut off Turkish supply lines, the US appear poised to invade Syria and force “regime change” even at the risk of fighting Russia, a gamble with nuclear war.
In rare admission, Pakistan recognises growing presence of Islamic State
There are reports of fighters being recruited by sectarian and other outfits, and being sent to Syria. The number of people leaving from Pakistan to Syria to join IS are in hundreds
Gravitational waves discovered: top scientists respond
When black holes meet: inside the cataclysms that cause gravitational waves
Gravitational waves: breakthrough discovery after two centuries of expectation
Here is the video
Iran Dumps Petrodollar, Wants Euros for All Oil Sales
Yet another act of defiance against dollar dominance. This week Russia became China’s biggest oil partner, thanks in part to Moscow accepting payment in yuan. And last month, Iran and India announced that they intend to settle all outstanding crude oil payments in rupees, as part of a joint strategy to dump the dollar and trade instead in national currencies.
Major Wildfire Outbreak in Central and Western Africa as Drought, Hunger Grow More Widespread
Wildfires are plainly visible in the NASA/MODIS satellite shot — covering about a 1,400 mile swath stretching from the Ivory Coast, through Ghana, Nigeria and Cameroon and on across the Central African Republic, the Congo, and Gabon.
40,000 starving to death as Sudan teeters on famine
The figures released in a UN report describe some of the worst conditions yet in more than two years of a civil war marked by atrocities and accusations of war crimes, including the blockading of food supplies.
Global warming linked to spread of zika virus
The Zika virus, transmitted by the same mosquito as dengue fever, has spread with alarming speed throughout South and Central America – and scientists in Brazil suspect that global warming is exacerbating the problem.
Uganda Discovered the Zika Virus. And the Solution for It.
Uganda’s success in containing outbreaks is no accident. It is the product of a long history of cutting-edge infectious disease research, dating back to the founding of UVRI to stem the spread of yellow fever in East Africa.
Support For Poroshenko Regime Collapses In Ukraine
The evaporation of popular support for the entire political system takes place amid the collapse of Ukraine’s economy.
Wind overtakes hydro in EU power mix
The wind industry has surpassed the hydro industry as the third largest player in the European electriticy grid in terms of capacity, and is fast closing the gap on the coal and gas sectors that continue to dominate the continent’s power mix.
Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change
Policy decisions made in the next few years will have profound impacts on global climate, ecosystems and human societies for the next ten millennia and beyond.
Next Onslaught In Gaza: Why The Status Quo Is A Precursor For War
Israel’s strategic, political and military tactics, as it stands today, will not allow Gaza to live with a minimal degree of dignity. On the other hand, the history of Gaza’s resistance makes it impossible to imagine a scenario in which the Strip raises a white flag and awaits its allotted punishment.
European Sovereign Risk Soars As Bank Contagion Spreads
The ECB’s “whatever it takes” ponzi strategy of keeping the dream alive in Europe’s financial system has finally been caught as rapid collapse in the banking system is contagiously spreading to peripheral sovereigns once again. Portugal risk spreads are up 120bps in the last 3 weeks and Spain and Italy are soaring over 35 and 50bps respectively as the almost self-dealing nature of banks buying “risk-free” EU bonds and repoing for cash via The ECB comes home to roost.
Tasmania’s Burning Peatlands Could Take Some Of Us With Them
On Friday there were still over 70 fires – 30 of them uncontrolled – still burning across Tasmania. Smoke has reached as far as Melbourne, and it’s likely around half of Tasmania has been exposed to the damaging haze.
Coal reality: Global energy transition occurring faster than expected
What does it say that Indian coal imports fell 28.6 percent year over year in January 2016 and U.S. coal production was down a record 32.4 percent?